Prediction: How to See and Shape the Future with Game Theory
By (Author) Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Vintage Publishing
Vintage
1st September 2010
1st July 2010
United Kingdom
Professional and Scholarly
Non Fiction
Social forecasting, future studies
303.49015193
Paperback
288
Width 129mm, Height 198mm, Spine 17mm
202g
A dazzling, provocative and utterly engrossing account of how one man is able to predict the future. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita can predict the future. From international terrorism to corporate fraud, from climate change to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has been predicting the future for decades. Using Game Theory (a theory based on the rationale that everyone acts in their own self-interest) he can foretell and even engineer events. His forecasts, for everyone from the CIA to major international companies, have an extraordinary 90% success rate. In this fascinating and immensely readable book he explains how you can use Game Theory to your own advantage - to win a legal dispute, advance your career and even get the best possible price for your car. Prediction will change your understanding of the world - both now and in the future.
A fascinating new book -- Daniel Finkelstein * The Times *
Mesquita offers zingily provocative contemporary policy ideas * Guardian *
A very interesting and entertaining read * www.thebookbag.co.uk *
Impressive * Economist *
Fruitful reading that will make it difficult to look at the world through quite the same eyes as in one's virginal, pre-game theory days * Kirkus Reviews *
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. A specialist in policy forecasting, political economy and international security policy, he received his doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan. Bueno de Mesquita is the author of fourteen books and numerous articles for journals, newspapers and magazines. He is a partner in a consulting firm focused on government and business applications of his game theory models. He lives in San Francisco and New York City.