Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics
By (Author) Francis Fukuyama
Bloomsbury Publishing PLC
Brookings Institution
3rd September 2008
United States
Professional and Scholarly
Non Fiction
363.34
Paperback
208
Width 153mm, Height 228mm, Spine 13mm
331g
As recent history vividly illustrates, several kinds of unanticipated scenariosbut particularly those of low probability and high impacthave the potential to escalate into systemic crises. Among the most obvious examples are the September 11 attacks, Hurricane Katrina, and the Asian tsunami. Anticipating and managing low-probability, high-impact events is a critically important challenge to todays policymakers but they lack the necessary tools. Developing such capacity and instruments, including the mindset necessary for thinking the unthinkable, is the focus of Blindside.
"Fukuyama offers creative thinking about the future." ForeWord Magazine, 11/1/2007
Francis Fukuyama is the Bernard L. Schwartz Professor of International Political Economy at the Johns Hopkins University's School of Advanced International Studies. Among his many successful books are America at the Crossroads: Democracy, Power, and the Neoconservative Legacy (Yale, 2007), and The End of History and the Last Man (Free Press, 2nd paperback ed., 2006). He is a member of the executive committee and editorial board chairman of The American Interest.