A Sultan in Autumn: Erdogan Faces Turkey's Uncontainable Forces

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"Informative." - Foreign Affairs Recep Tayyip Erdogan has ruled Turkey for nearly two decades. Here, Soner Cagaptay, a leading authority on the country, offers insights on the next phase of Erdogans rule. His dwindling support base at home, coupled with rising opposition, the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, and Turkeys weak economy, would appear to threaten his grip on power. How will he react In this astute analysis, Cagaptay casts Erdogan as an inventor of nativist populist politics in the twenty-first century. The Turkish president knows how to polarize the electorate to boost his base, and how to wield oppressive tactics when polarization alone cannot win elections. Cagaptay contends that Erdogan will cling to powerwith severe costs for Turkeys citizens, institutions, and allies. The associated dynamics, which carry implications far beyond Turkeys bordersand what they portend for the United Statesmake A Sultan in Autumn a must-read for all those interested in Turkey and the geopolitics of the next decade.

Reviews

A brisk and informative review of the Turkish political scene, particularly Ankaras foreign policy, through an examination of the recent political fortunes of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. -- Lisa Anderson * Foreign Affairs *
A Sultan in Autumn is at his most dangerous. Soner agaptay gives a full account of Erdogan at this critical period. A crystal-clear report on the rise and fall of a quasi-dictator in the age of rising global authoritarianism. * Ece Temelkuran, Author of How to Lose a Country (2019) and political commentator *
Comprehensive and clear-eyed political analysis of Turkey under Erdogan, a leader whose complicated dance with internal and external actors has taken Turkey away from democracy, but, on a note of hope, perhaps not taken democracy away from Turkey. A must-read for anyone wishing to understand how Turkey came to its current state and what might happen next. * Jenny White Author of Turkish Kaleidoscope (2021) and Professor, Stockholm University Institute for Turkish Studies *

Author Bio

Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute, USA. He has written extensively on U.S.-Turkish relations, Turkish domestic politics, and Turkish nationalism; publishing in scholarly journals and major international print media, including the Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, New York Times, Foreign Affairs, and The Atlantic. He has been a regular columnist for Hrriyet Daily News, Turkey's oldest and most influential English-language paper, and a contributor to CNN's Global Public Square blog. He appears regularly on Fox News, CNN, NPR, BBC, and CNN-Turk. His latest book, Erdogan's Empire, was published in September 2019 by I.B. Tauris.